Ian Woodward's Investing Blog

Archive for March, 2014

Stock Market: The Ides of March Usually Spells Instability

Saturday, March 22nd, 2014

The week of March 15th is usually unstable and this was no exception.  “You too Brutus!”  The VIX shot up to over 18 on the 14th and then fell sharply back down to the 14 level before bouncing back up to around 15ish.

Ides Picture

The Market Indexes are bouncing around due to the uncertainty that lies ahead on the Ukraine Affair:

Ides Indexes

The Small Caps keep barreling along as evidenced by the RUT which is in a solid uptrend as shown below:

Ides RUT

The Canaries are dithering around and have lost their chirp with a minor roll over to the downside:

Ides Canaries

The S&P 1500 is essentially at Stalemate on Grandma’s Pies, and we may be headed down further:

Ides Pies

…Our favorite chart shows the “Wibbly-Wobbly” state of affairs this past week traders have had to put up with:

Ides Pat

The Internals of Accumulation vs. Distribution is virtually at Stalemate once again, and cliff-hanging:

Ides abcde

Three Cheers for Chris White, CEO at EdgeRater, who has automated a High Jump Template on the NASDAQ:

Ides Jump

We have introduced a New Impulse Indicator to compliment the Bingo…Its called Bango, overbought Market:

Ides bango

…And here are the recent results for Bango, starting with a Bingo at the bottom:

Ides Nasdaq

Best Regards, and see you at the Seminar next weekend!


Stock Market: Highest Jump Target Was Met!

Monday, March 3rd, 2014

Just when the Stock Market was reaching New Highs and the Highest Jump Target of 4350 on the NASDAQ was essentially met, the Ukraine Affair got the Market Jittery these last two days and we must now take a deep breath and see which way the wind is blowing from here.  The VIX has jumped up 2.33 points as I write this at 12.00 noon Pacific Coast Time.

Ukraine Picture

The next chart shows the usual picture we like to follow of the various Market Indexes.  After that major hit downwards on January 24, when the S&P 1500 had all of 45% of its stocks below the Lower Bollinger Band, we bounced back with a V-Bottom this past five weeks only to be greeted with turbulence from the Ukraine/Russia Kerfuffle.


Now for the fun stuff!  It did it again…the trusty old High Jump Tool came through for us with flying colors and we essentially reached the Target of 4350 at 4343 for a High.  You will note that it has struggled to get past 14.74% this last 3 months which showed the market was running out of steam and now we need the market to tell us whether it is just pausing to refresh or is headed down.

Ukraine Hi Jump 1

…And here for good measure is a Weekly picture which shows how steep the climb has been recently:

Ukraine Hi Jump 2

Despite the hiccup, the RUT is still sitting pretty and was back into new high territory a couple of days ago:

Ukraine RUT

…And to finish this off, the VIX climbed ~ 2 points today and should be viewed as a shot across the bow:

Ukraine VIX

Less than a month to go for the HGSI March Seminar from the 29th to the 31st, so get cracking and sign up and I look forward to seeing you all with bright shiny faces in Sunny Palos Verdes.

Best Regards,


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Disclaimer: Commentaries on this Blog are not to be construed as recommendations to buy or sell the market and/or specific securites. The consumer of the information is responsible for their own investment decisions.