Ian Woodward's Investing Blog

Stock Market: Leap Year Voodoo

The saying goes, Beware the Ides of March which is all of 15 Days away.  It looks as if the shot across the bow today suggests that the Leap Year may have beaten it to the caution:

Anyone watching today’s action in the Stock Market couldn’t help but see that the Small Cap Russell 2000 Market Index had a bad day with regard to our terminology…Close to a -5 Bucket Down Day!  The other Indexes have turned “Yellow” and could follow with another bad day in succession:

You don’t need to know the numbers…those three red blobs which I have ringed says it all.  The RUT had 4.8 Buckets DOWN today, and as you can see from the sea of green we have had since late December, we have had a first MAJOR shot across the bow. Read carefully my last Blog Note to understand the significance of 5 Buckets down.

AAPL shot up first thing but towards the close was under pressure giving most of the gains back…however, it held fast and came roaring back in the last half hour after a small shake out.  Uncle Ben was not  encouraging today and the Market was not too pleased with his outlook, hence the fall in the Small Caps which have yin-yanged now for all of 18 days.

I felt I should give you that quick review to be on your toes for tomorrow to see if the other Market Indexes follow suit or that it was just a flash in the pan letting off some steam.  Of course it is no news to you that the Market is long in the tooth so a little bit of a pullback would be healthy.  By the way the TVIX and VIX remained very calm, so that is still a good sign for the Bulls, and until you see the kind of jump I explained in my last Blog, just watch those two to stay alert for which way the wind is blowing.

For those planning on coming to the seminar in three weeks time, you have until March 9th to sign up for the discount rate we have secured for you at the Courtyard Marriott…don’t dilly-dally on the way.  You snooze, you lose.

Best Regards, Ian.


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Disclaimer: Commentaries on this Blog are not to be construed as recommendations to buy or sell the market and/or specific securites. The consumer of the information is responsible for their own investment decisions.